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	<title>Charleston Weather &#187; charlestonwx</title>
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	<description>Updates on weather events for the Charleston, SC metro area.</description>
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		<title>charlestonwx.com brings forecasts in-house with new computer model</title>
		<link>http://blog.charlestonwx.com/2009/04/01/charlestonwxcom-brings-forecasts-in-house-with-new-computer-model/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.charlestonwx.com/2009/04/01/charlestonwxcom-brings-forecasts-in-house-with-new-computer-model/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2009 13:53:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jared Smith</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Announcements]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[announcement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[charlestonwx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computer model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecastronic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[site roadmap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[total available convective opportunity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[One of my goals has always been to bring forecasting for Charleston Weather in-house.  What the National Weather Service does is very well-respected and should be commended, but I&#8217;ve also wanted to tackle the challenge of creating my own forecasts for the area.  I&#8217;m pleased to report this is now a reality thanks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of my goals has always been to bring forecasting for Charleston Weather in-house.  What the National Weather Service does is very well-respected and should be commended, but I&#8217;ve also wanted to tackle the challenge of creating my own forecasts for the area.  I&#8217;m pleased to report this is now a reality thanks to the <a href="http://forecastronic.com">Forecastronic 9000</a>, a dramatic step forward in computer-generated weather forecasts.</p>
<h6>How does Forecastronic work?</h6>
<p>Forecastronic, a joint collaboration between our <a href="http://twitter.com/blairblends">friends</a> at <a href="http://twitter.com/neowx">neowx</a> and myself, ingests data from periodic NWS soundings as well as the entire set of Level II NEXRAD data across the WSR-88D network.  This, combined with reports from individual weather stations &#8212; including the rain gauge in your backyard &#8212; helps Forecastronic generate proper forecasts for any locale in the United States.</p>
<h6>Forecastronic&#8217;s credentials</h6>
<p><img src="http://charlestonwx.com/images/hypercertified.png" alt="Hypercertified" style="float: right" /><br />
Having access to the Forecastronic for our forecasts is exciting in many ways, but is mostly exciting because it is the first believed <strong>hypercertified</strong> computer model in existence, passing rigorous standards tests from all the major meteorological bureaus across the world.  So, when you look up your Forecastronic-generated outlook for the next 36 hours, you&#8217;ll know that it will be reliable and accurate.</p>
<h6>Special severe weather detection capability</h6>
<p>The Forecastronic uses a new index to determine whether severe weather is imminent:  the <strong>T</strong>otal <strong>A</strong>vailable <strong>C</strong>onvective <strong>O</strong>pportunity Index.  It has three levels:  <em>Mild</em> indicates a chance for thunderstorms, but nothing terribly strong; <em>Hot</em> indicates that convective activity is stronger and could support high cloud tops and hail-producing storms; and, finally, <em>Explosive</em> indicates that thunderstorms carry a high possibility of tornadic activity.</p>
<h6>Forecastronic is Web 2.0 ready</h6>
<p>Forecastronic is also the first computer model known to man to output its raw results to <a href="http://twitter.com/Forecastronic">Twitter</a>.  This means you can follow Forecastronic in your Twitter timeline, and when each Forecastronic model run is completed, you&#8217;ll get your hypercertified forecast before anybody else.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s my hope that Forecastronic will help expand the services that we can provide; I&#8217;m hoping soon to tweak the model even further so we can provide 14-day forecasts with reasonable skill &#8212; something that not even the government is doing yet.</p>
<p>As always, thanks for sticking with charlestonwx.com as we build and grow!</p>]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Hypercertified</media:title>
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